| Doubling Speed: Bonding Is Working and Cheap |
| Written by Dave Burstein |
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Update 9/16 Email below that technical problems seem solved. Original Article. Five years ago, BellSouth CTO Bill Smith pointed to ADSL bonding as the cheapest and easiest way to double speeds. Added 9/16 A senior engineer with access to test results writes "I think the technical feasibility issues are behind us and most of the work at this point is focused on cost reduction (e.g. single chip vs dual chip implementations). We are field testing some units now and the results look good so far. Your timeframe is probably good for scaled deployment but that is driven by the cost reduction efforts. I expect to see bonding capable modems/gateways that cost very little more than the single pair versions." Everyone will be watching closely as the newer chips go to trials.Bill Smith’s problem is not yet solved, because after the merger he's responsible for much of the AT&T network, built on VDSL rather than ADSL. AT&T, Alcatel, and several vendors promised VDSL bonding in 2006, then again every six months of so after that. AT&T needs VDSL desperately, because 25-40% of U-Verse customers can't get the 25 meg the system was designed for. Kevin Schneider of Adtran three years ago was confident his DSLAMs could handle the bonding, but there aren't any bonded VDSL modems ready for field use. Because so few carriers followed AT&T and DT to VDSL, neither chip nor modem makers invested enough to get T the gear they wanted. I'm hearing rumors and promises from Broadcom and others, but I doubt I'll see production ready units until 2010. Comcast is now passing 25M homes with 50 meg, most in AT&T territory. If they priced at $45 like U.K cable, AT&T would be hemorrhaging lines. |
He had 37% unused copper available and his line count was dropping, not increasing. A modem + DSLAM port then cost $50-80 so double gear is affordable when the service returns $300/year. That’s fallen by now, although the current double gateways typically cost 2.5 times the single gateway cost.